Twente vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 0
TWE
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
TWE
2 - 3
AZA
43%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TWE
2 - 0
UTR
40%
25%
36%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPA
0 - 2
TWE
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
TWE
1 - 3
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
HER
1 - 2
NEC
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
NEC
3 - 0
NAC
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AJA
0 - 3
NEC
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
NEC
1 - 1
WIL
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SCH
1 - 0
NEC
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |