Q. Europa League 2da Ronda. Final
Global 6-1
Twente vs Inter Turku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 3
TWE
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
TWE
6 - 0
FCS
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TWE
0 - 1
RKC
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 1
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VVV
4 - 2
TWE
12%
19%
69%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Turku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
INT
3 - 2
JJK
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
INT
2 - 0
HJK
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
FCL
4 - 3
INT
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
MYP
4 - 0
INT
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
VAA
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |