Twente vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
TWE
3 - 2
RJC
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
ADO
0 - 1
TWE
25%
28%
47%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1975 |
TWE
1 - 5
MON
52%
21%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
GRA
5 - 3
TEL
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 1
EIN
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
MVV
2 - 2
GRA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 1
NEC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |