Eredivisie Round 26

Twente vs Ajax analysis

Twente Ajax
81 ELO 89
9.9% Tilt 22.1%
116º General ELO ranking 107º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.8%
Twente
25.2%
Draw
44.1%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
Twente
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.1%
Win probability
Ajax
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-7%
+1%
Ajax

ELO progression

Twente
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 1995
TWE
Twente
2 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
73%
17%
10%
81 69 12 0
12 Mar. 1995
GRO
Groningen
1 - 2
Twente
TWE
31%
25%
44%
81 70 11 0
08 Mar. 1995
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 2
Twente
TWE
25%
25%
51%
80 61 19 +1
05 Mar. 1995
TWE
Twente
0 - 3
Willem II
WIL
68%
20%
12%
81 75 6 -1
25 Feb. 1995
TWE
Twente
1 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
52%
24%
24%
81 81 0 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 1995
AJA
Ajax
8 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
79%
14%
8%
88 70 18 0
19 Mar. 1995
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
87%
10%
3%
88 62 26 0
15 Mar. 1995
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
71%
18%
11%
89 84 5 -1
12 Mar. 1995
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
11%
20%
68%
88 60 28 +1
01 Mar. 1995
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
37%
26%
37%
89 84 5 -1