FC TVMK vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.4%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
TRA
4 - 0
TVM
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
TVM
5 - 1
TUL
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
TVM
1 - 3
TAM
86%
9%
4%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
TVM
1 - 2
FLO
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 2
TVM
10%
17%
73%
|
78 | 30 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
5 - 0
PAR
86%
11%
4%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
TAL
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
KUR
0 - 3
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 3
FLO
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 3
TRA
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |