noscript image

J1 League. Matchday 15

FC Tokyo Gamba Osaka
48 ELO 41
2% Tilt 20%
1234º General ELO ranking 2026º
Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
46.9%
FC Tokyo
24.9%
Draw
28.3%
Gamba Osaka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
FC Tokyo
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.3%
Win probability
Gamba Osaka
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Tokyo
+19%
-73%
Gamba Osaka

Basic stats

47
53
POS
13
13
SOT
3
4
COR
1
0
GF
0
1
GC
15
15
FRK
48
41
ELO
1.6
1.2
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

FC Tokyo
Their league position
Gamba Osaka
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
11º
11º
13
18º
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kawasaki Frontale
45
82
65%
Yokohama F. Marinos
34
81
39%
Nagoya Grampus
34
60
10%
Sagan Tosu
33
61
8%
Avispa Fukuoka
29
56
10º
7%
Vissel Kobe
28
61
7%
Urawa Reds
28
57
7%
Kashima Antlers
24
64
6%
Cerezo Osaka
23
54
11º
6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
10º
23
49
12º
6%
Consadole Sapporo
11º
22
60
6%
FC Tokyo
12º
22
56
6%
Tokushima Vortis
13º
19
43
13º
7%
Shonan Bellmare
14º
17
38
14º
8%
Shimizu S-Pulse
15º
15
36
16º
8%
Kashiwa Reysol
16º
14
38
15º
8%
Gamba Osaka
17º
13
27
20º
9%
Vegalta Sendai
18º
13
35
17º
9%
Oita Trinita
19º
12
33
18º
13%
Yokohama
20º
7
27
19º
10%
Expected probabilities
FC Tokyo
Gamba Osaka
Champion
1% 0%
AFC Champions League
10% 2%
Mid-table
74% 57%
Relegation
15% 41%

ELO progression

FC Tokyo
FCT
Gamba Osaka
GAM
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2021
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 1
Oita Trinita
OIT
51%
26%
23%
864 664 200 -1
15 May. 2021
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
0 - 4
FC Tokyo
FCT
46%
27%
28%
852 757 -95 +11
09 May. 2021
KAA
Kashima Antlers
3 - 0
FC Tokyo
FCT
53%
26%
22%
860 1121 261 -8
05 May. 2021
VIS
Vissel Kobe
0 - 0
FC Tokyo
FCT
47%
27%
26%
860 842 -18 +1
01 May. 2021
FCT
FC Tokyo
0 - 3
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
42%
28%
31%
869 1034 -165 -10

Matches

Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO GAM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2021
GAM
Gamba Osaka
0 - 3
Urawa Reds
URA
40%
28%
32%
632 888 -256 -9
12 May. 2021
GAM
Gamba Osaka
1 - 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
42%
28%
31%
638 793 -155 -6
08 May. 2021
GAM
Gamba Osaka
0 - 2
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
28%
26%
46%
643 1459 -816 -5
02 May. 2021
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka
GAM
58%
23%
19%
640 1207 567 +3