FC Thuringen vs BW Neustadt / Orla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+181%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thuringen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAC
1 - 0
FCT
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 0
OHR
88%
9%
4%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 0
SCH
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SON
0 - 4
FCT
10%
15%
75%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 3
FCA
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
BW Neustadt / Orla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FUM
1 - 3
BWN
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BWN
0 - 3
WAC
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BWN
4 - 0
SCH
75%
15%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OHR
0 - 2
BWN
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BWN
3 - 0
EIC
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |