FC Telavi vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
10º
8º
38
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Telavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
TEL
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 1
TEL
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 1
GOR
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
DTB
1 - 1
TEL
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TEL
0 - 2
DBA
16%
26%
58%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 4
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
4 - 1
SIO
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 1
GAG
41%
23%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
GAG
2 - 0
SPA
33%
22%
45%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DTB
2 - 1
GAG
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |