FC Sursee vs Brunnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
16º
6º
39
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 68 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 58 |
2º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 48 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 43 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 40 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 34 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 33 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 30 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
BUO
34%
21%
44%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
FCS
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 6
GOL
42%
21%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 2
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 5
PER
46%
23%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 0
FCC
48%
25%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 3
BRU
49%
21%
31%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
FCU
31%
23%
47%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PER
3 - 3
BRU
47%
23%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
0 - 0
SCE
44%
23%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |