Campionato Primavera 2 Grupo A round 14

Südtirol U19 vs Parma U19 analysis

Südtirol U19 Parma U19
30 ELO 43
-5.1% Tilt -7.5%
9154º General ELO ranking 5726º
338º Country ELO ranking 208º
ELO win probability
20.5%
Südtirol U19
20.2%
Draw
59.3%
Parma U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
Südtirol U19
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
59.3%
Win probability
Parma U19
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Südtirol U19
-12%
+6%
Parma U19

Points and table prediction

Südtirol U19
Their league position
Parma U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
11º
69
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Como U19
69
69
0%
Parma U19
69
69
0%
Virtus Entella U19
52
52
0%
Renate U19
52
52
0%
Vicenza U19
46
47
100%
Modena U19
38
38
68%
Südtirol U19
37
38
68%
Brescia U19
36
36
100%
Cittadella U19
35
35
100%
AlbinoLeffe U19
10º
35
35
10º
100%
SPAL U19
11º
33
33
11º
100%
Pro Vercelli U19
12º
33
33
12º
100%
Venezia U19
13º
32
32
13º
100%
Padova U19
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Reggiana U19
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Feralpisalò U19
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Südtirol U19
Parma U19
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Südtirol U19
Parma U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Südtirol U19
Südtirol U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2024
BRE
Brescia U19
4 - 1
Südtirol U19
SUD
42%
23%
36%
28 25 3 0
14 Dec. 2024
SUD
Südtirol U19
4 - 0
Feralpisalò U19
FER
60%
19%
20%
27 22 5 +1
08 Dec. 2024
CIT
Cittadella U19
1 - 1
Südtirol U19
SUD
41%
22%
37%
27 24 3 0
04 Dec. 2024
BOL
Bologna U19
1 - 0
Südtirol U19
SUD
49%
22%
29%
27 32 5 0
30 Nov. 2024
SUD
Südtirol U19
2 - 2
AlbinoLeffe U19
ABL
54%
21%
25%
27 25 2 0

Matches

Parma U19
Parma U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2024
VIR
Virtus Entella U19
1 - 2
Parma U19
PAR
28%
26%
46%
44 37 7 0
14 Dec. 2024
PAR
Parma U19
4 - 1
Vicenza U19
VIC
62%
20%
18%
43 35 8 +1
07 Dec. 2024
REG
Reggiana U19
0 - 2
Parma U19
PAR
17%
21%
63%
42 28 14 +1
03 Dec. 2024
TOR
Torino U19
1 - 0
Parma U19
PAR
32%
24%
44%
43 37 6 -1
29 Nov. 2024
PAR
Parma U19
1 - 1
Renate U19
REN
71%
16%
13%
43 28 15 0