First League round 29

Struga vs Tikvesh analysis

Struga Tikvesh
69 ELO 60
-10.4% Tilt -13.1%
2027º General ELO ranking 3197º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
54.9%
Struga
25.4%
Draw
19.7%
Tikvesh

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
Struga
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.7%
Win probability
Tikvesh
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Struga
+1%
+8%
Tikvesh

Points and table prediction

Struga
Their league position
Tikvesh
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Struga
66
69
100%
Shkupi
59
63
94.5%
KF Shkëndija
54
58
94%
Sileks
47
51
98.5%
Makedonija GP
39
42
25%
Bregalnica Štip
38
42
27.5%
Tikvesh
37
41
36.5%
Rabotnički
37
41
38.5%
Renova
12º
0
32
33%
AP Brera
27
31
10º
51.5%
FK Skopje
10º
22
25
11º
83.5%
FK Pobeda
11º
13
14
12º
97%
Expected probabilities
Struga
Tikvesh
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 36.5%
Mid-table
0% 63.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Struga
Tikvesh
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Struga
Struga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
FCS
Struga
6 - 2
FK Pobeda
POB
72%
20%
8%
69 47 22 0
09 Apr. 2023
FKS
FK Skopje
1 - 1
Struga
FCS
16%
27%
57%
69 54 15 0
05 Apr. 2023
FCS
Struga
1 - 0
Sileks
SIL
48%
26%
27%
69 66 3 0
02 Apr. 2023
FCS
Struga
3 - 1
AP Brera
AKP
50%
27%
23%
69 62 7 0
18 Mar. 2023
RAB
Rabotnički
0 - 1
Struga
FCS
32%
29%
40%
69 61 8 0

Matches

Tikvesh
Tikvesh
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
TIK
Tikvesh
0 - 0
Shkupi
SHK
30%
27%
43%
61 69 8 0
15 Apr. 2023
SHK
KF Shkëndija
4 - 1
Tikvesh
TIK
53%
26%
21%
62 69 7 -1
09 Apr. 2023
TIK
Tikvesh
0 - 0
Sileks
SIL
39%
28%
34%
61 65 4 +1
02 Apr. 2023
BRE
Bregalnica Štip
0 - 0
Tikvesh
TIK
50%
26%
24%
61 64 3 0
18 Mar. 2023
TIK
Tikvesh
0 - 1
Makedonija GP
MAK
35%
27%
38%
61 66 5 0