Stengefort vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
56.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stengefort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 6
CBG
9%
14%
77%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
URE
5 - 1
FCS
54%
20%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
OBE
11 - 1
FCS
67%
16%
17%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 3
RBE
31%
22%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
USS
2 - 0
FCS
42%
21%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UME
2 - 4
UKT
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
URE
2 - 2
UME
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
UME
1 - 5
RES
15%
19%
66%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 6
UME
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
UME
2 - 7
RUM
7%
13%
80%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |