Stengefort vs Grevenmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
75.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stengefort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
FCS
74%
15%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 2
UKT
20%
18%
63%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SYR
3 - 1
FCS
41%
22%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 0
LUN
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
5 - 0
FCS
68%
17%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 0
OBE
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
RBE
1 - 2
GRE
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
5 - 0
USS
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 2
GRE
21%
22%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
URE
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |