Simba vs Groupe Bazano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ASM
1 - 0
SIM
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 19 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
SIM
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
FCT
68%
20%
11%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
SIM
1 - 0
DBL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
SAI
1 - 1
SIM
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
GBA
2 - 1
USP
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
GBA
0 - 1
ASM
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 18 | 51 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
DBL
2 - 0
GBA
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
TPM
5 - 1
GBA
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
GBA
1 - 2
BFC
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |