Simba vs Groupe Bazano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 0
TSH
53%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DBL
0 - 2
SIM
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
SIM
0 - 0
BFC
39%
29%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GBA
2 - 4
SIM
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SIM
0 - 0
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Groupe Bazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
GBA
50%
28%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
GBA
1 - 6
TPM
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
GBA
1 - 3
LUB
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
USP
2 - 1
GBA
40%
29%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
GBA
0 - 1
DBL
43%
28%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |