Super League Temporada Regular round 6

Simba vs Groupe Bazano analysis

Simba Groupe Bazano
63 ELO 71
6.5% Tilt -5.4%
1574º General ELO ranking 1585º
11º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
40.9%
Simba
28%
Draw
31%
Groupe Bazano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
Simba
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31%
Win probability
Groupe Bazano
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Simba
+3%
-14%
Groupe Bazano

Points and table prediction

Simba
Their league position
Groupe Bazano
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
18º
10º
8
13º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Saint-Eloi Lupopo
46
47
100%
TP Mazembe
34
41
54%
Maniema Union
40
41
54%
Lubumbashi Sport
33
33
45%
AS Vita Club
31
32
29%
Dauphins Noirs
26
32
41.5%
Motema Pembe
28
31
21.5%
Don Bosco Lubumbashi
28
28
83%
Aigles du Congo
26
26
83%
Simba
10º
23
23
10º
0%
Blessing
11º
23
23
11º
18%
Renaissance
13º
18
21
12º
68%
Etoile de Kivu
12º
20
20
13º
52.5%
Sanga Balende
14º
16
19
14º
30%
Celeste FC
15º
16
17
15º
35%
Kuya Sport
16º
16
16
16º
48%
Panda 05
17º
15
15
17º
100%
Rangers
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Groupe Bazano
19º
8
9
19º
100%
Tshinkunku
20º
7
7
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Simba
Groupe Bazano
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Simba
Groupe Bazano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Simba
Simba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2023
SIM
Simba
0 - 1
TP Mazembe
TPM
43%
27%
30%
62 68 6 0
27 Nov. 2022
SIM
Simba
2 - 1
Saint-Eloi Lupopo
SAI
32%
29%
39%
61 72 11 +1
23 Nov. 2022
SIM
Simba
1 - 2
Panda 05
USP
40%
27%
34%
62 66 4 -1
04 Nov. 2022
DBL
Don Bosco Lubumbashi
1 - 0
Simba
SIM
54%
26%
21%
62 71 9 0
23 Oct. 2022
SIM
Simba
0 - 3
TP Mazembe
TPM
33%
29%
37%
63 72 9 -1

Matches

Groupe Bazano
Groupe Bazano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2023
TPM
TP Mazembe
4 - 0
Groupe Bazano
GBA
48%
27%
25%
71 69 2 0
27 Aug. 2023
BFC
Blessing
3 - 1
Groupe Bazano
GBA
43%
30%
27%
72 71 1 -1
30 Nov. 2022
SAI
Saint-Eloi Lupopo
2 - 0
Groupe Bazano
GBA
41%
30%
29%
72 72 0 0
23 Nov. 2022
TPM
TP Mazembe
0 - 0
Groupe Bazano
GBA
51%
26%
23%
72 72 0 0
20 Nov. 2022
GBA
Groupe Bazano
1 - 0
Lubumbashi Sport
LUB
50%
27%
23%
72 65 7 0