Simba vs Dibumba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SIM
1 - 0
LUB
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
DBL
1 - 1
SIM
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
SIM
3 - 2
OPA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 1
SAI
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 1
TPM
37%
31%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dibumba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 0
DIB
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
DIB
0 - 4
TPM
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
DIB
1 - 0
OPA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
DIB
0 - 1
SAN
42%
30%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SAI
2 - 0
DIB
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |