Shakhtar Donetsk vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
SHA
6 - 1
ZOR
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DYN
0 - 0
SHA
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 0
INT
15%
23%
62%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SHA
4 - 1
FCV
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SHA
3 - 0
DYN
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
12%
19%
69%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
RMA
1 - 2
SHF
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
RMA
6 - 1
MLL
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VCF
1 - 2
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |