Saturn-1991 vs Metallurg Lipetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn-1991
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1993 |
SAT
2 - 0
FAK
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1993 |
NAL
0 - 1
SAT
53%
26%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
EGY
3 - 0
SAT
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1993 |
SAT
1 - 0
SUA
61%
23%
15%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1993 |
SAT
4 - 3
KUB
42%
26%
31%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1993 |
BAL
2 - 0
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
FAK
0 - 1
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
MET
4 - 0
NAL
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1993 |
MET
2 - 1
EGY
49%
27%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1993 |
SUA
3 - 1
MET
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |