FC Romania vs Aylesbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
20º
19º
40
3º
19º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 3
FAV
27%
25%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 0
FCR
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
FCR
1 - 1
WES
30%
25%
46%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 2
FCR
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 1
BER
12%
20%
68%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 0
AYL
62%
20%
19%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 3
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 1
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BER
4 - 0
AYL
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AYL
2 - 1
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |