FC PRJ vs SA Mérignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
73.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 2
SAM
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
ESB
0 - 6
SAM
9%
14%
77%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 6
BAL
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |