Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
EST
2 - 2
FCP
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
FCP
2 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2007 |
FCP
3 - 0
LEX
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCP
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BOA
3 - 3
VST
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
VST
2 - 1
SLB
22%
25%
52%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
VST
3 - 1
PAÇ
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |