Taça de Portugal . Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1961 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
FCP
9 - 2
SAC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 42 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1961 |
SAC
1 - 5
FCP
22%
22%
57%
|
88 | 42 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 2
SAL
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1961 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1961 |
SCP
4 - 1
VST
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
SCP
9 - 0
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SCP
3 - 0
ATL
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |