Taça de Portugal . Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Porto vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
66%
18%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 1
MAR
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCP
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
SPB
3 - 1
FCP
36%
22%
42%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FCP
3 - 0
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
66%
18%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
VST
1 - 1
SCP
21%
21%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
TOR
0 - 1
SCP
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
SCP
1 - 1
TOR
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |