Porto vs CD Santa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SAL
0 - 4
FCP
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 2
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
RIB
0 - 4
FCP
9%
19%
73%
|
88 | 34 | 54 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCP
24%
25%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPB
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ALV
0 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FAM
1 - 2
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOA
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
GFC
3 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |