Porto vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 0
LIL
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACV
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
FCP
5 - 1
FAR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ROM
5 - 2
DVS
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 1
ROM
7%
17%
76%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 0
TER
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
ROM
10 - 0
VMO
93%
6%
1%
|
87 | 20 | 67 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 2
ROM
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |