Porto vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
20%
24%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FCP
3 - 2
UDL
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEX
70%
21%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
FCP
6%
15%
80%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 1
PAÇ
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
SPB
35%
29%
37%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAÇ
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
LEX
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |