Porto vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCP
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
VST
0 - 2
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
FCP
3 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
69%
21%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
VIT
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 2
PAÇ
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
UDL
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
GFC
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |