Porto vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
FCP
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FCP
0 - 0
TRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 1
VST
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
LEX
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 0
VST
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 0
LEX
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LEX
1 - 1
EST
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
LEX
0 - 0
SLB
19%
24%
58%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |