Porto vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
SCP
0 - 1
FCP
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
FCP
2 - 0
BMA
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
80%
13%
8%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
FCP
4 - 1
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
LEX
3 - 0
LGC
69%
18%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SLB
7 - 1
LEX
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ACA
5 - 2
LEX
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
OLH
0 - 0
LEX
55%
22%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |