Porto vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 2
FAM
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
FCP
13%
20%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
FCP
8%
17%
75%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
VIT
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 0
FAR
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 1
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FAR
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 1
SCP
10%
19%
71%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |