Europa League Last 16
Global 8-3
Porto vs Denizlispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCP
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
GFC
3 - 5
FCP
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 2
FCP
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
69%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Denizlispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
MAL
2 - 1
DEN
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 0
GAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
DEN
2 - 1
ANK
57%
22%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
DEN
1 - 2
BJK
31%
24%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
LYO
0 - 1
DEN
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +2 |