Porto vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
FCP
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
DYN
2 - 2
FCP
38%
25%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 3
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 2
CHL
14%
21%
66%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 4
CHL
9%
18%
74%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 0
ARS
41%
25%
34%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CHL
4 - 0
MTA
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
EVE
3 - 1
CHL
24%
24%
52%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |