Porto vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
55%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
FCP
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
APO
0 - 1
FCP
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACA
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 1
APO
61%
24%
16%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
CHL
4 - 0
WOL
80%
14%
6%
|
96 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
49%
26%
26%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 2
CHL
28%
26%
47%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 4
CHL
15%
23%
62%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
CHL
4 - 0
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |