Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 1
LEX
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
BOA
0 - 2
FCP
31%
28%
42%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 2
FCP
33%
28%
40%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
OLH
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
CDM
0 - 0
BEL
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAB
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 1
BEL
43%
29%
28%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
BEL
3 - 1
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
BMA
1 - 2
BEL
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |