Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
34%
21%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
FCP
7 - 3
OLH
70%
15%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BOA
0 - 3
FCP
26%
19%
55%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
FCP
4 - 0
OEL
86%
8%
6%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
FCP
1 - 0
ATL
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
BEL
7 - 1
VST
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
ACA
0 - 4
BEL
23%
20%
57%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BEL
4 - 1
SLB
44%
20%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
FAM
1 - 5
BEL
19%
20%
61%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | -1 |