Porto vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCP
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 2
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FCP
5 - 3
LYO
48%
23%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 1
ROM
47%
23%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
FAM
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
ARO
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 2
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 1
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
ARO
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |