Champions League . 1/16
Global 5-7
Porto vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
3 - 1
MAR
94%
5%
2%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
AEK
6 - 1
FCP
30%
25%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SPB
3 - 1
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
59%
21%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
AEK
6 - 1
FCP
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
SDL
4 - 1
AEK
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
AEK
2 - 2
SDL
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
AEK
3 - 0
ASA
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ASA
1 - 0
AEK
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |