Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
RIO
0 - 2
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 1
FCP
19%
27%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BMA
0 - 1
FCP
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
FCP
2 - 1
VST
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 4
MOR
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BMA
0 - 0
ACA
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOA
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SCP
0 - 0
ACA
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ACA
4 - 1
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |