Regionalliga Nord Round 5

Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II analysis

Phönix Lübeck St. Pauli II
53 ELO 49
10.3% Tilt 7%
2087º General ELO ranking 3290º
80º Country ELO ranking 132º
ELO win probability
52.6%
Phönix Lübeck
22.9%
Draw
24.5%
St. Pauli II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
Phönix Lübeck
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.5%
Win probability
St. Pauli II
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Phönix Lübeck
+5%
+12%
St. Pauli II

Points and table prediction

Phönix Lübeck
Their league position
St. Pauli II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
43
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hannover 96 II
76
76
100%
SV Meppen
71
71
100%
Phönix Lübeck
65
65
100%
Drochtersen / Assel
61
61
100%
VfB Oldenburg
57
57
100%
Holstein Kiel II
56
56
100%
 Hamburger SV II
51
51
100%
Havelse
49
49
100%
Teutonia Ottensen
48
48
100%
BW Lohne
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Bremer SV
11º
46
46
11º
0%
St. Pauli II
12º
43
43
12º
0%
Eintracht Norderstedt
13º
43
43
13º
0%
Jeddeloh
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Weiche Flensburg
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Eimsbütteler TV
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Kilia Kiel
17º
20
20
17º
100%
Spelle-Venhaus
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Phönix Lübeck
St. Pauli II
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Phönix Lübeck
St. Pauli II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Phönix Lübeck
Phönix Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2023
EIM
Eimsbütteler TV
0 - 3
Phönix Lübeck
FCP
26%
23%
51%
52 43 9 0
16 Aug. 2023
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
5 - 1
VfB Oldenburg
VFB
34%
26%
41%
50 55 5 +2
12 Aug. 2023
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
7 - 0
Jeddeloh
JED
50%
23%
27%
49 46 3 +1
05 Aug. 2023
HAN
Hannover 96 II
3 - 2
Phönix Lübeck
FCP
54%
22%
24%
49 51 2 0
22 Jul. 2023
FCP
Phönix Lübeck
2 - 0
Hansa Rostock II
HAN
48%
22%
30%
49 47 2 0

Matches

St. Pauli II
St. Pauli II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2023
STP
St. Pauli II
0 - 1
BW Lohne
BWL
51%
23%
26%
50 47 3 0
13 Aug. 2023
SVE
Spelle-Venhaus
1 - 6
St. Pauli II
STP
44%
23%
32%
49 48 1 +1
06 Aug. 2023
EIM
Eimsbütteler TV
1 - 4
St. Pauli II
STP
39%
24%
38%
47 45 2 +2
30 Jul. 2023
STP
St. Pauli II
1 - 1
Jeddeloh
JED
45%
24%
31%
47 46 1 0
15 Jul. 2023
WIE
Wiedenbrück
2 - 0
St. Pauli II
STP
35%
24%
41%
47 45 2 0