Pepeni vs FC Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 34 |
7º
|
96% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
61% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
38% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 20 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 16 |
14º
|
1% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
FCP
FCO
CRU
EFV
FCE
GRA
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pepeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO FCP | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FLA
6 - 0
FCP
39%
28%
33%
|
304 | 131 | -173 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 1
FCV
49%
26%
25%
|
305 | 190 | 115 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 0
FCP
41%
28%
31%
|
306 | 186 | -120 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FCP
3 - 0
GRA
47%
27%
26%
|
304 | 170 | 134 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 0
FCP
41%
28%
31%
|
306 | 180 | -126 | -2 |
Matches
FC Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO FCO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FCO
0 - 1
CFR
47%
27%
26%
|
183 | 109 | 74 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 4
SIN
45%
27%
29%
|
184 | 275 | -91 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 2
FCO
41%
28%
31%
|
185 | 130 | -55 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FCO
5 - 2
COD
45%
27%
28%
|
184 | 181 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 1
FCO
45%
27%
28%
|
184 | 191 | 7 | -1 |