Otepää vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
72.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otepää
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OTE
2 - 1
TJK
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
OTE
2 - 4
LAH
23%
20%
58%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 0
OTE
58%
19%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
VJK
4 - 1
OTE
89%
8%
4%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
NOO
7 - 3
OTE
77%
12%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
JKP
0 - 4
PAI
10%
19%
72%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 3
PAI
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 1
PAI
72%
15%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 3
PAI
11%
19%
71%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PAI
5 - 0
TAB
81%
12%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |