FK Nizhny Novgorod vs FK Krasnodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
14º
14º
48
3º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
KRA
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 3
ZEN
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
OLY
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 2
SPA
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
KRA
2 - 0
OLY
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
KRA
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KRA
2 - 3
TER
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
3 - 2
KRA
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
KRS
0 - 0
KRA
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
KRA
2 - 0
OLY
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |