Oberdorf vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oberdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 2
SEN
17%
22%
61%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 1
FCO
57%
22%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 3
FCO
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 0
TAV
48%
24%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ALL
1 - 2
FCO
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MOU
3 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
MOU
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MOU
4 - 0
ALL
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NEX
1 - 0
MOU
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MOU
4 - 1
ALL
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |