Nürnberg vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
M05
2 - 2
FCN
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SGF
2 - 2
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 1
OSN
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
F95
3 - 1
FCN
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
EBT
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
KSC
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
STP
0 - 2
PAD
35%
26%
38%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 3
DAR
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
SSV
1 - 0
PAD
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
HEI
46%
24%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |