Nürnberg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
FCN
4 - 1
GRA
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 1
SGF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 3
FCN
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 2
HOF
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HSV
2 - 0
FCN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
OSN
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
KAI
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
HOF
1 - 1
HER
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
S04
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 1
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |