Nürnberg vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SGD
0 - 1
FCN
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 7
ING
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
HAN
38%
25%
36%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HSV
2 - 2
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 0
ROS
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 4
STP
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
3 - 0
HEI
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 1
DAR
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SVS
1 - 3
HEI
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 1
SGD
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |