Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
17º
14º
44
4º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
0 - 1
FCN
37%
24%
40%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
F95
0 - 1
FCN
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 3
HOL
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KSC
3 - 0
FCN
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
FCN
4 - 3
STG
16%
18%
66%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
HAN
0 - 2
BVB
7%
15%
78%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 0
ARB
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HEI
2 - 1
HAN
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 2
HSV
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 3
HAN
27%
25%
49%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |