Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ULM
0 - 1
FCN
10%
15%
75%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
FCN
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
ERZ
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FCN
3 - 2
MUN
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
KRA
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VFL
0 - 5
F95
3%
8%
89%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
NET
1 - 0
F95
2%
6%
92%
|
75 | 21 | 54 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
F95
2 - 3
BRE
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SVS
0 - 2
F95
15%
20%
65%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
F95
3 - 0
LEU
50%
23%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |