Bundesliga Cadete South/South West Round 5

Nürnberg U17 vs Mainz 05 U17 analysis

Nürnberg U17 Mainz 05 U17
21 ELO 22
7.8% Tilt -6.1%
9317º General ELO ranking 9547º
448º Country ELO ranking 457º
ELO win probability
43%
Nürnberg U17
23.4%
Draw
33.6%
Mainz 05 U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
Nürnberg U17
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.6%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U17
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nürnberg U17
-37%
-1%
Mainz 05 U17

ELO progression

Nürnberg U17
Mainz 05 U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nürnberg U17
Nürnberg U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2015
FCN
Nürnberg U17
2 - 3
SC Freiburg U17
SCF
40%
23%
36%
22 24 2 0
29 Aug. 2015
STK
Stuttgarter Kickers U17
2 - 1
Nürnberg U17
FCN
14%
19%
67%
24 13 11 -2
23 Aug. 2015
FCN
Nürnberg U17
1 - 1
Hoffenheim U17
HOF
27%
23%
50%
24 32 8 0
15 Aug. 2015
MUN
TSV 1860 München U17
1 - 1
Nürnberg U17
FCN
37%
26%
38%
25 22 3 -1
09 May. 2015
FCN
Nürnberg U17
1 - 3
Karlsruher SC U17
KSC
40%
24%
36%
27 30 3 -2

Matches

Mainz 05 U17
Mainz 05 U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2015
M05
Mainz 05 U17
0 - 3
Stuttgarter Kickers U17
STK
83%
11%
6%
24 14 10 0
29 Aug. 2015
HOF
Hoffenheim U17
3 - 0
Mainz 05 U17
M05
62%
20%
18%
27 31 4 -3
22 Aug. 2015
M05
Mainz 05 U17
2 - 1
TSV 1860 München U17
MUN
67%
19%
14%
27 22 5 0
16 Aug. 2015
AUG
FC Augsburg U17
1 - 0
Mainz 05 U17
M05
13%
20%
67%
29 18 11 -2
17 May. 2015
M05
Mainz 05 U17
4 - 2
Ulm U17
SSU
87%
10%
4%
30 12 18 -1